Last week, a firestorm
leveled the northern Canadian city of Fort McMurray. It still burns,
under a cloud of smoke and ash that hide how much it has destroyed. But
only from the naked eye. Satellites equipped with infrared cameras have
peered through the black cloud to reveal a charred Fort McMurray.
The images in the above gallery come from a pair of satellites
operated by DigitalGlobe, a remote sensing company. Called WorldView 2
and 3, each looks at different swaths of the infrared spectrum, which
allows them to see a dynamic picture of the devastation. This is not
disaster porn. First responders use images like these to predict a
fire’s movement, and plan their suppression efforts. And they provide
those of us lucky enough to be far away from Fort McMurray a reminder of
the dangers of a warming world.
Temperatures in Fort McMurray last week were close to 90˚F. In May.
In Canada. Northern Canada. Fort McMurray is pretty far inland, but near
the same latitude as Juneau, Alaska. That warm weather came off a
pretty light snow year, which means the trees around the city were
pretty dry. Add strong winds to the mix and you get, well, the situation
playing out on these satellite images.
The WorldView-3 orbits at around 385 miles above the Earth’s surface.
It is sun-synchronous, which means it is always in daylight. Its
onboard camera has 16 different bands, one of which captures light in
the short wave infrared spectrum. “As you move from visible light, to
near infrared, to shortwave infrared, you are picking up sunlight
reflected from the surface, but also the heat signature from planet
itself,” says Kumar Navulur, DigitalGlobe’s senior director of strategic
solutions. Essentially, the short wave infrared camera’s heat sensing
ability lets it see the fire’s flicker through the cloud of smoke.
Another of DigitalGlobe’s satellites, the WorldView-2, also looked at
the fire. Though it wasn’t able to peer through the smoke, it did allow
DigitalGlobe’s technicians to create before and after images of the
fire. Those technicians combine the infrared imagery with false color
pictures of the landscape. Which leads to some weird color schemes. For
instance, red is good, because it represents living forest. Burned areas
are grey. “After a fire, all the chlorophyll in the trees is killed, so
it has no color value,” says Navulur.
DigitalGlobe’s constellation of satellites collect over a million
square miles of satellite imagery every day. In a year, that’s around 80
petabytes of data. They can fly over places like Fort McMurray once a
day. “Once we collect the data, within about two hours it can be
available online anywhere in the globe,” says Navulur.
Not just for first responders. DigitalGlobe’s clients include tech
companies, governments, aid groups, oil and gas companies—virtually
anyone with a desire to understand how the Earth works. Including other
cities looking to protect themselves from the vagaries of the changing
climate. “You want to prepare, react, recover,” says Navulur. Hotter,
drier weather means longer fire seasons. Wetter, warmer winters means
more flooding. Vigilance—aided by an all-seeing eye—is the best way to
peer through the smoke of uncertainty for what is yet to come.
http://www.wired.com/2016/05/insane-fort-mcmurray-fire-350-miles-earth/?mbid=social_fb#slide-5
The Governor of California has joked about building a wall all the
way around his state if Donald Trump becomes president of the other 49.
Secession would not be a joke had it not been given an undeserved bad
name. It would not have that bad name but for our universal acceptance
of imperialism and of an overly simplistic history of the U.S. Civil
War.
Slavery in the U.S. South was
widespread through World War II, Jim Crow through the 1960s, mass
incarceration through the current day, and bitterness over the Civil War
for the foreseeable future. Had the U.S. avoided civil war through a
compromise that restricted slavery to existing slave states, or even
through a compromise that allowed its possible expansion, or through
simply allowing states to secede without war, the net result might have
been good or bad. A few things are certain. The bitterness over the war
would not exist, the 700,000 killed and many more injured and the
incredible destruction of burned cities and fields would not have
happened, and war would not have been glorified during the childhoods of
the generation that would launch global U.S. imperialism at the dawn of
the 20th century.
Very likely, in addition, slavery would have ended more quickly and more thoroughly
than it did. Of course, that cannot be stated with certainty. But a
nation half-slave, half-free that sought to work through problems
without war would have very likely ended slavery through some form of
compensated emancipation fairly quickly, bringing up the rear in a
global process of liberation. Two or more smaller nations that sought to
avoid war would have very likely also put an end to slavery in the one
or more nations maintaining it, in part because of international and
economic forces and the absence of a fugitive slave law, but also
because smaller nations, all else equal, have an easier time achieving
democracy. If we had smaller nations on this continent now, or if we
were to choose to in the future, we would see the ability of people to
bring popular pressure to bear on the governments soar.
Of course, it’s anything but an easy moral question whether 4 million
people should be left enslaved another moment, or whether a nation
should launch a war that might benefit them, though in the end it
actually brought very limited and short-lived gains along with 700,000
killed and numerous disastrous results for decades to come. Not only are
the results known only after the war, but the moral question has been
invented after the war. Many in the North did not want a war to free
slaves. A draft had to finally be created, as in the South as well, to
compel people to kill and die. And those in power in Washington,
including President-elect Lincoln, did not want war to free the slaves,
only to prevent the expansion of slavery westward. When the South would
not agree to restricting slavery to its current boundaries, Northern
decision makers chose to launch a war over “union” — preferring
slaughter to permitting the South, or some part of it, to leave.
Mark Tooley has published a book called The Peace That Almost
Was: The Forgotten Story of the 1861 Washington Peace Conference and the
Final Attempt to Avert the Civil War. It may remain a forgotten
story for at least four reasons that leap out at me. First, Tooley adds
in so much gossip-column fluff on clothes and parties and families and
churches that it’s almost physically impossible to make it through his
book if you’re looking only for what happened at the conference; this is
truly a shame in a culture that already considers peace boring and war
exciting. Second, Tooley concludes that the war was “inevitable” anyway,
so why should you care? (And why did he give his book the title he
did?) Third, Tooley almost completely overlooks the possibility that was
most open to the North, namely allowing the South to leave in peace.
Fourth, if you look into the details and consider how easily peace might
have been chosen instead of war, you may feel a bit of discomfort in
your mind. You may come up against the fact that many nations did end
slavery without a civil war, and then have to start questioning whether
in fact lots of other wars have also been “inevitable.”
A strong case could be made that the peace conference was begun too
late. Seven states had already seceded. A conference on peaceful
secession before secession, or a conference on a slavery compromise
before secession, would have been easier. Oh and, by the way, the entire
topic of the conference was slavery, not some other vague cause of
“states rights” or anything of the sort. Nonetheless, the conference had
numerous chances to reach an agreement, and in the end did reach an
agreement — which Congress tossed aside in favor of war, and which
Congress was assisted in tossing aside by some members of the peace
conference who quickly badmouthed what they had done and opted for war.
Among the latter was former U.S. President John Tyler who had chaired
the peace conference before returning to Virginia and denouncing it.
Under consideration at the conference was not primarily slavery in
the slave states, and certainly not ending it through compensated
emancipation, as would be done in Washington, D.C., and numerous foreign
countries. At issue was principally the expansion of slavery into the
expanding western empire. Both sides insisted on imperial expansion to
such an extent that it was truly beyond debate. If they’d been somehow
made content with the current size of the country, that too could have
resolved the dispute and averted war. So, in that peculiar sense, the
Civil War was a war of empire. Delegates from both Northern and Southern
states (quite a crowd of former senators and justices and the like)
tended also to assume that their choices were either union or war, not
peaceful division. A greater willingness to accept peaceful separation
could also have averted war.
Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin sent no delegates. William Lloyd
Garrison urged the desirability of war. Peace conference delegate Roger
Baldwin of Connecticut advocated no compromise with slavery. Some
Southern delegates urged no compromise with freedom, even while whining
about threats to their own rights and comforts without a thought for
those of the people enslaved in their states. The peace conference
dragged on unpeacefully for 19 days, with Congress and the states
holding their breath and holding off on actions.
Delegate Reverdy Johnson of Maryland made a case for compromise to
both sides, urging the North to accept the deal of the old Missouri
Compromise as preferable to the Dred Scott decision’s ruling
that slavery could spread north of latitude 36°30′. Southern delegates
were intent on not just preserving slavery but expanding it westward.
President-elect Lincoln met with the peace conference and made clear
that he would never stand for that and would prefer war; he would leave
slavery alone where it existed but never allow it to expand.
After all variety of proposals were heard and rejected, ultimately a
compromise was reached by the peace conference that reinstated the
Missouri Compromise, required a majority of slave-state senators to
approve of new territory, prohibited Congressional interference with
slavery, banned the importation of enslaved people from abroad, and
affirmed fugitive slave laws but also allowed for compensation paid to
an owner to make an escaped slave free. Arguably this final agreement
and other proposals that were rejected all propped up slavery more than
simply allowing secession would have. The Senate and House quickly took
up the peace conference agreement and rejected it. This was a Congress
now missing any representatives from eight states, another reason why
acting sooner might have succeeded.
During the course of the conference, some hints at another possible
course were heard. General Winfield Scott said that dividing the country
into four countries would be a “lesser evil” than war. Senator Salmon
Chase of Ohio said, “The thing to be done is to let the South go.”
Former Massachusetts Governor George Boutwell said that the union should
be kept free of slavery or not kept. (But he warned ominously that the
South could try to annex Mexico and other land, and block the North’s
expansion to the Pacific. Again, it was all about empire.) Former New
York Congressman Francis Granger raised the example of letting the South
go as an act too cruel to be considered (so beneficial, apparently, was
union with the North). George Summers of Virginia proposed a new nation
of the border states, letting the Deep South and New England do their
own things.
Victory, and thereby top praise in the history books, went to those
who wanted war, including those who opposed slavery, those who demanded
“union,” and those who insisted on expanding slavery far and wide.
But when secession is proposed in the future, we should not be rash
in rejecting it. If the North had let the South go way back when, both
countries might be much better off today. If, after the Civil War,
someone had been able to turn the clock back four years, the North might
have been very willing to let the South go. The South might also have
been very willing to give up slavery, or at least its expansion
westward, without the insanity and horror of a war. Secession may be an
improvement on what we’ve got now. There are only so many immigrants
Canada is going to take.

































